foresight National Innovation Systems

Brainstorming Workshop "Shaping the European Dimension of Foresight", Brussels, 28/02-1/03/2005
http://www.cordis.lu/foresight/future.htm
Information and Presentations
CORDIS, Science and Technology Foresight

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Session 2: Foresighting Systemic Changes
R. Barré pdf

S. Kangaspunta pdf
How throughly are we able to understand a system?
• What is the NIS? How does it work?
• What are the elements, linkages, connections, interdependencies, subsystems, limits...
• How does a system change?
• Do you need to know this for a foresight?
• Can foresight help to understand a system better?

How does a system change?
• The periphery alarms? (The center is passive until problems arise in the periphery)
• Through crisis? (Because ideological, economic, social & mental rigidities, unwillingness to change, fear of changing, need of security... block necessary organisational change caused by changes in the surrounding world before a crisis clears the table)
• Flexible adaptation?
• 'Mutations'?
• Can foresight be of help in this?
• Why some systems are better in renewing themselves? Does foresight play a role?

Citizen's role?
• How does the citizen fit in the systems?
• User connection to systems?
• Needs of a citizen - needs of the System?

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A process for producing foresight knowledge

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Evaluation
• Evaluation of systems also aims at producing knowledge for discussion, design and decision making concerning systems
• Evaluation of systemic risks
• Evaluation technology & other issues and their possible effects on systems

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