Kāpēc nav nāciju līderu...

Vai var uzaugt jauni  nācijas līmeņa līderi totalitārās vai autoritārās valstīs? 

1. Nevar. Tāpēc, ka diktatori, pastāvošās sistēmas nogriež potenciāliem līderiem iespējas un piedalīšanās ceļus, apstādina tos, iznīcina garīgi publiski un nereti - fiziski.
Tā darīja Staļins un citi kopš senseniem laikiem.
Tā dara Putins,  un metodes var būt gan līdzīgas, gan jaunas - globāli vēsturisku, kultūras un citu apstākļu dēļ.

Atklātības un neilgās demokrātijas laikā spēja uznākt  un uzaugt Jeļcins -
Gorbačovs un pārējie  varēja, taču viņu neapstādināja  (negribēja , neprata).

Veimāras Vācijā atnāca Hitlers.

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2. Var. Bet jābūt ļoti lielai veiksmīgu apstākļu sakritībai.

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Mūsdienu demokrātijas. Kādēļ šeit trūkst jaunu nācijas līmeņa līderu? ...

Mīlēt

Glāsts ir Dieva pieskāriens.(Mikelandželo)
Mums bieži tas ir galvenais.

Tu esi Dievs, daļa no tā.

Nepazaudēt sevi

Cilvēkam iztikt bez pašapliecināšanās ir nesaprast pašam sevi.

Nesaprast nozīmē dusmoties, ciest, vainot citus un pasauli.

The Project on Forward Engagement

http://forwardengagement.org/

ANTICIPATORY GOVERNANCE 
PRACTICAL UPGRADES: EQUIPPING THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH TO COPE WITH INCREASING SPEED AND COMPLEXITY OF MAJOR CHALLENGES. link

"Foresight is the disciplined analysis of alternative futures. It is not prediction, it is not
vision, and it is not intelligence; it is a distinct process of monitoring prospective
oncoming events, analyzing potential implications, simulating alternative courses of
action, asking unasked questions, and issuing timely warning to avert a risk or seize an
opportunity. As a disciplined process, organized foresight offers a means to simulate
actions that would otherwise have to be tested against reality, where the consequences of
error are irrevocable. A foresight-generating and horizon-scanning system can help
government detect trends and weak signals, visualize alternative futures, and foster better
outcomes." (p.7)

FTA 2014 ( JRC, EC )

5th International Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis, 
Brussels, 27-28 November 2014, link

The foresight research , FP7

The EU research framework programme (2007–13), Socio-economic sciences and humanities,
the summaries of research projects in foresight 

link

Social Innovation

RESEARCH ON SOCIAL INNOVATION
Inventory of projects funded under the EU Research Framework Programmes (FP6 and FP7)

link 

New Do(o)r Riga 2014

Izraēlas un Latvijas izglītojošs projekts jauno sociālo uzņēmēju attīstīšanai

saite

The development of the discipline of Anticipation

The UNESCO chair in Anticipatory Systems deals with three clusters of research projects: “The Discipline of Anticipation”, "Projects", and “Field Applications”. 

A few topics characterizing the Discipline of Anticipation: Understanding and classifying anticipation, including biological, psychological and social types of anticipation; The theory of anticipatory systems; Complexity (from the point of view of anticipation); Futures Literacy; Reframing, or the structure of imagination; Anticipatory Capability Profile; Resilience Profile; Anticipatory methods, including the development of suitable protocols; Anticipation and values - Ethical aspects of anticipation; Philosophical aspects of the theory of anticipation.

"The main purpose of the UNESCO Chair in Anticipatory Systems is to centralize the study of anticipation and to define the Discipline of Anticipation as a cohesive body of knowledge."   see Project Anticipation

Modelling in Foresight

About approaches and methods see  European Foresight Platform  

Modelling for Global Systems Science

"Models in GSS are used as a map of the world, or a specific piece of it, and can be used to address complex problems faced by society and policy makers. More conventional methods, economics for example, also use models but these models tend to be more specifically focussed on one specific area and exclude much relevant information. This can lead to unintended consequences, and when a policy relies on such a model it may actually end up causing more harm then good. GSS seeks to avoid this by using models that are more comprehensive and look at more external factors that may influence a system. Essentially, this means that GSS is using a larger map that not only looks at the path ahead, but also which paths are dead ends or might get you lost." more

Source: Global System Dynamics and Policy. Best Practice Guidelines Towards a Science of Global Systems.
Collated and written by
Steven Bishop
Peter Baudains
Jason Greenlaw
Giles Foden
Julian Hunt
Jeff Johnson

Global System Dynamics and Policy (GSDP) project website: www.gsdp.eu

Cik lielā mērā ES, tās dalībvalstis, organizācijas, uzņēmumi, mācību iestādes, cilvēki un kopienas mainīsies, lai būtu inovatīvas, sadarbotos un radītu, īstenotu inovācijas sev, Eiropai, pasaulei?
Ir paziņots par ES kā Inovāciju savienības mērķiem, iespējām:
http://ec.europa.eu/research/innovation-union/index_en.cfm
Sākas 2014.-2020.g. ES programma Horizonts:
http://ec.europa.eu/programmes/horizon2020/en/what-horizon-2020

ne tikai CV

Pastāv viedoklis, ka pēc rakstura iezīmēm cilvēku tipi var būt: militāristi, ierēdņi, biznesmeņi, mākslinieki. To ir vērts zināt, ņemt vērā, domājot par savu un citu izglītību, profesiju, izvēlēm un, protams, personības attīstīšanu, veiksmi un laimi darbā un ģimenē. Mēs varam un maināmies, bet daudz kas paliek...

Rīgā nevalstiskās organizācijas var darboties jaunajā NVO namā Laimdotas ielā 42

the European Parliament and EaSI

On September 5, 2013, the Employment and Social Affairs Committee of the EP endorsed the new programme EaSI
more

EUCLID NETWORK and SOCIAL INNOVATION