10 Dec 2014

The Project on Forward Engagement

http://forwardengagement.org/

ANTICIPATORY GOVERNANCE 
PRACTICAL UPGRADES: EQUIPPING THE EXECUTIVE BRANCH TO COPE WITH INCREASING SPEED AND COMPLEXITY OF MAJOR CHALLENGES. link

"Foresight is the disciplined analysis of alternative futures. It is not prediction, it is not
vision, and it is not intelligence; it is a distinct process of monitoring prospective
oncoming events, analyzing potential implications, simulating alternative courses of
action, asking unasked questions, and issuing timely warning to avert a risk or seize an
opportunity. As a disciplined process, organized foresight offers a means to simulate
actions that would otherwise have to be tested against reality, where the consequences of
error are irrevocable. A foresight-generating and horizon-scanning system can help
government detect trends and weak signals, visualize alternative futures, and foster better
outcomes." (p.7)

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